Why does the simulation predict what it does?
Cover these topics: - past-looking simulation graph analysis - forward-looking counterfactual analysis: simulation differencing and why SHAP is better - forward-looking counterfactual analysis: simulation SHAP analysis
References and further reading
Hardwick, Robert J. 2026a. “How can I trust the actions I take in simulations?” umbralcalculations, August. https://umbralcalc.github.io/posts/how_can_i_trust_the_actions_i_take_in_simulations.html.
Hardwick, Robert J. 2026b. “How sensitive is my action to the simulation?” umbralcalculations, August. https://umbralcalc.github.io/posts/how_sensitive_is_my_action_to_the_simulation.html.
Lundberg, Scott M., and Su-In Lee. 2017. A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30. https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.07874.
Questions whose answers cite this one